to what extent the coming rains will compensate for the rest of the year

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In Valencia alone, 300 liters per square meter are expected in the next 72 hours. But to rain, what is said to rain, it’s going to rain all over Spain. During this week a “train of storms” is going to roam freely throughout the peninsula and will be especially merciless with the interior, the southwest and the entire Mediterranean coast. The key question is: will this serve to contain the drought?


What is a ‘squall train’? Although the name promises a more interesting phenomenon, the truth is that it is a very visual way of calling a succession of major storms in a short space of time.

A week spent by water. Although, in much of the country, during the weekend we have already been able to “enjoy” the rain, the first storm of this “train” is going to form in the southwest of the Peninsula between Monday and Wednesday. From that moment, we will have three days of very intense rains with more than 150 liters per square meter in areas such as Andalusia, Murcia or the surroundings of the Central system. Towards the end of the week, there are reasons to fear torrential rains throughout the south, center and east of the peninsula. The most direct consequence, apart from the water, is that temperatures will drop again.

Because right now? Of course, because after a really bad water year (in which some areas of the country have received less than 25% of the usual rainfall), one wonders what is happening so that we now chain a good series of storms in the country. The answer is an anticyclone. Specifically, an anticyclone based on northern Europe that is diverting the storms to the southwest of the continent: towards Spain and Portugal.

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It will be enough? That is the big question that is in the air. All the weather world is very aware of the year 2018, when we suffered a very similar situation, but finally an exceptionally wet spring helped save the furniture. Although it did not manage to remedy the period of “drought” that we have been enduring since 2014, it is true that it allowed us to avoid the harshest consequences of the lack of water.

We dodged a water bullet, but it was luck. Today, with the huge agri-food crisis on the horizon, not having another stroke of luck can shoot up the prices of basic foodstuffs to unsuspected figures and cause unprecedented chaos in the Spanish countryside. While no one expects this to solve all of our problems, this week may play a key role in softening the blow (and hopefully usher in another spring like 2018).

Long periods of drought are going to be more and more normal.  It's time to get used to them

The solution will not fall from the sky. Let’s face it, long periods of drought are going to be more and more normal. We don’t need luck, we need a plan. I have always been very critical of “meteorological Sebastianism”, not because we do not expect storms like “water in May”, but because it is not enough. But time goes on and the solutions (structural, political, substantive) are still not forthcoming.

Image | Ryōji Iwata

In Valencia alone, 300 liters per square meter are expected in the next 72 hours. But to rain, what is…

In Valencia alone, 300 liters per square meter are expected in the next 72 hours. But to rain, what is…

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