one each year more extreme

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August starts in style with a general increase in temperatures that, if nothing changes, will result in the third heat wave of the season. We had been warning about it and, indeed, the forecasts have been fulfilled: there are already 34 provinces that are on heat alert this Monday. After a sultry July, but which ended up giving us a little respite: the first days of August (even if we don’t reach record numbers) look horrible.

However, that’s not even the worst. After all, we have had a particularly hard summer in which the days under “heat wave” have been almost more than the “normal” ones. What if we are simply ushering in a new kind of summer, a much hotter one?

A summer far from normal. It’s still early to tell, but everything points at that the month of July that has just ended will be one of the two warmest in Spain since 1961. The other will be that of 2015, which ended with an average temperature 2.5 degrees above average. This already gives us clues that we are not experiencing a “normal” summer.

The European Center for Medium-Range Forecasting He has just confirmed it and, according to his latest reports, an August with temperatures above normal can be expected in “practically the entire country during the first fortnight of the month.” The good news is, according to the AEMET“in any case it will not be a warm episode, as extraordinary as the one we recently experienced in mid-July”.

July was officially the hottest month on Earth for the last 142 years.

Are we facing the new summer?. Be that as it may, we find the same meteorological constants: extreme heat, clear skies and storms (especially in the afternoon). It will be over 40 degrees in the south and the nights will be hotter than is reasonable to sleep comfortably. It is not expected (as some hoaxes point out) a hyper-hot event for August 6nor is there an especially large cold drop cooking in the environment. The only really outstanding thing is that we are above the usual average temperatures.

A permanent heat wave. As soon as we realize that the hottest years on record have occurred after the year 2000, we realize that the mean we use to define heat waves (meaning “recorded maxima above the 95% percentile of his series of maximum daily temperatures for the months of July and August in the period 1971-2000”) is increasingly further away from our reality. We are headed for a permanent heat wave.

Problems problems and more problems. And this would not be a problem if we were showing enough adaptation problems to the new rules of the game: with more than 20% of the territory desertified, historically low levels of dammed water and an increasingly problematic ecological transition (with the war in Ukraine threatening to break the European energy system), these climatic stresses They do more than complicate our lives.

Image | Rener Lea/ABACA

August starts in style with a general increase in temperatures that, if nothing changes, will result in the third heat…

August starts in style with a general increase in temperatures that, if nothing changes, will result in the third heat…

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